Betting Lines
| Spread | UL -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | UL -400 GASO +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UL +7 | 181 | Won |
| Massey | UL -10.8 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (+39.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UL -9.5 (-2.5) | 141.7 (+39.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UL -8.8 (-1.8) | 139.4 (+41.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UL -9.5 (-2.5) | 141.5 (+39.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UL -9.5 (-2.5) | 141.8 (+39.2) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | UL 69 – 60 GASO |
| Feb 6, 2025 | GASO 83 – 82 UL |
| Mar 5, 2023 | UL 67 – 49 GASO |
| Feb 24, 2022 | UL 82 – 69 GASO |
| Jan 30, 2022 | GASO 66 – 65 UL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UL | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-0 | 12-4 |
| Away | 7-7 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#106) | -3.0 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#67) | -0.33 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#66) | -0.52 (#212) |
| RPI | 0.575 (#54) | 0.485 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UL | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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