Betting Lines
| Spread | UL -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UL +18 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | UL -6.1 (+11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (-25.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UL -5.7 (+12.3) | 143.4 (-27.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UL -5.9 (+12.1) | 139.6 (-23.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UL -5.3 (+12.7) | 143.1 (-27.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UL -5.8 (+12.2) | 143.3 (-27.3) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | UL 69 – 60 GASO |
| Feb 6, 2025 | GASO 83 – 82 UL |
| Jan 29, 2023 | UL 94 – 87 GASO |
| Feb 24, 2022 | UL 82 – 69 GASO |
| Jan 30, 2022 | GASO 66 – 65 UL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UL | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-0 | 12-4 |
| Away | 7-7 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#99) | -1.5 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#79) | -0.27 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#76) | -0.40 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#46) | 0.494 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UL | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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