Betting Lines
| Spread | UL -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +1 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | UL -5.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UL -4.1 (-5.1) | 136.9 (-5.9) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UL -5.5 (-6.5) | 134.0 (-3.0) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UL -3.9 (-4.9) | 135.9 (-4.9) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UL -4.0 (-5.0) | 136.8 (-5.8) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | UL 69 – 60 GASO |
| Feb 6, 2025 | GASO 83 – 82 UL |
| Mar 5, 2023 | UL 67 – 49 GASO |
| Jan 29, 2023 | UL 94 – 87 GASO |
| Feb 24, 2022 | UL 82 – 69 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UL | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 13-16 |
| Conference | 8-9 | 5-11 |
| Home | 7-6 | 7-5 |
| Away | 6-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 63.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#185) | -2.9 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#191) | -0.31 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#189) | -0.49 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#181) | 0.478 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UL | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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