Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Sun Belt Conference · Jack and Ruth Ann Hill Convocation Center · February 6, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread GASO -6.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Over
Money GASO -300 / UL +250
Model Predictions
Spread Total GASO win
Actual GASO +1 165 Won
Massey GASO -7.1 (-6.1)
Massey Totals 148.8 (+16.2)
Bradley-Terry 81%
Weighted B-T 81%
Baseline Plus ML GASO -4.7 (-3.7) 143.8 (+21.2) 71%
Model 4 ML GASO -4.9 (-3.9) 144.2 (+20.8) 71%
Model 3 ML GASO -4.9 (-3.9) 142.4 (+22.6) 69%
Baseline ML GASO -5.3 (-4.3) 142.2 (+22.8) 73%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 UL 6960 GASO
Mar 5, 2023 UL 6749 GASO
Jan 29, 2023 UL 9487 GASO
Feb 24, 2022 UL 8269 GASO
Jan 30, 2022 GASO 6665 UL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GASO UL
Overall 17-16 12-21
Conference 8-10 8-10
Home 11-3 5-12
Away 4-11 6-5
Neutral 2-2 1-4
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.1 64.9
Avg Pts Against 76.1 73.3
Massey -6.6 (#271) -10.5 (#325)
Bradley-Terry -0.67 (#232) -1.58 (#311)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.20 (#253) -2.03 (#312)
RPI 0.477 (#220) 0.450 (#260)
Shooting & Four Factors GASO UL
FG% 42.2% 39.7%
3PT% 33.8% 31.3%
REB / G 36.8 30.4
OREB / G 12.9 9.4
AST / TO 0.87 1.00
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.5% 45.9%
TOV% 19.7% 16.2%
ORB% 32.3% 26.0%
FT Rate 18.1% 21.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.7% 52.4%
Opp TOV% 19.2% 18.5%
DRB% 66.7% 65.3%
Opp FT Rate 32.7% 32.7%

Game Analysis

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