Betting Lines
| Spread | GASO -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | GASO -300 UL +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +1 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | GASO -7.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (+16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GASO -4.9 (-3.9) | 142.4 (+22.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GASO -4.9 (-3.9) | 144.2 (+20.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GASO -4.7 (-3.7) | 143.8 (+21.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GASO -5.3 (-4.3) | 142.2 (+22.8) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | UL 69 – 60 GASO |
| Mar 5, 2023 | UL 67 – 49 GASO |
| Jan 29, 2023 | UL 94 – 87 GASO |
| Feb 24, 2022 | UL 82 – 69 GASO |
| Jan 30, 2022 | GASO 66 – 65 UL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | UL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-3 | 5-12 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#271) | -10.5 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#232) | -1.58 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#253) | -2.03 (#312) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#220) | 0.450 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | UL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.7% | 32.7% |
Game Analysis
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