Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +21 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | GCU -15.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.3 (+17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -13.6 (-7.4) | 136.2 (+12.8) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -13.9 (-7.1) | 134.8 (+14.2) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -14.1 (-6.9) | 134.8 (+14.2) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -13.2 (-7.8) | 133.3 (+15.7) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2024 | GCU 74 – 51 CHST |
| Dec 31, 2021 | GCU 80 – 63 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHST | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 23-8 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 13-5 |
| Home | 5-9 | 15-2 |
| Away | 2-15 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.1 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 62.0 |
| Massey | -13.3 (#344) | 5.0 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#336) | 1.04 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.79 (#336) | 1.19 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.394 (#344) | 0.532 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHST | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 43.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.