Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -31.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +23 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -24.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-26.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -21.9 (+1.1) | 149.0 (-24.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -18.9 (+4.1) | 146.9 (-21.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -20.9 (+2.1) | 147.2 (-22.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -21.8 (+1.2) | 150.7 (-25.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2022 | GCU 85 – 64 CHST |
| Dec 31, 2021 | GCU 80 – 63 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 4-12 |
| Home | 16-1 | 3-7 |
| Away | 5-4 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 62.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#120) | -17.6 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#106) | -3.22 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#106) | -4.42 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#55) | 0.407 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 35.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 41.0% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 31.3% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 62.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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