Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -22.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +17 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -21.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.0 (+20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -17.7 (-0.7) | 131.9 (+11.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -17.9 (-0.9) | 133.0 (+10.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -14.5 (+2.5) | 132.0 (+11.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -17.8 (-0.8) | 133.5 (+9.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2024 | GCU 74 – 51 CHST |
| Feb 24, 2022 | GCU 85 – 64 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-8 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 3-15 |
| Home | 15-2 | 5-9 |
| Away | 7-5 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 62.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.0 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#104) | -13.0 (#339) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#56) | -1.79 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#89) | -2.41 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#125) | 0.407 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 36.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 42.7 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 15.2 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 25.5% |
| ORB% | 39.6% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.7% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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