Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +14 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | HOU -11.4 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (+8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -7.5 (-6.5) | 143.4 (+4.6) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -10.0 (-4.0) | 140.4 (+7.6) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -7.8 (-6.2) | 144.2 (+3.8) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -8.4 (-5.6) | 143.9 (+4.1) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2023 | HOU 89 – 59 TULN |
| Jan 18, 2023 | HOU 80 – 60 TULN |
| Mar 12, 2022 | HOU 86 – 66 TULN |
| Feb 3, 2022 | HOU 73 – 62 TULN |
| Mar 13, 2021 | HOU 77 – 52 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-15 | 32-6 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 15-3 |
| Home | 9-4 | 16-1 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 9-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 58.8 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#99) | 19.5 (#4) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#131) | 2.70 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#139) | 3.50 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#114) | 0.628 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 20.7% | 37.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 43.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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