I'm so tired of being lonely, I still have some love to give. "Handle With Care" - The Travelling WIlburys
Houston Cougars
77 – 52
FINAL Neutral Conference Air Force Reserve American Athletic Conference
Tulane Green Wave
American Conference · Dickies Arena (Neutral) · March 13, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread HOU -18.5 Home covered
O/U 133.5 Under
Money HOU -2500 / TULN +1800
Model Predictions
Spread Total HOU win
Actual HOU +25 129 Won
Massey HOU -18.8 (+6.2) — —
Massey Totals — 127.4 (+1.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 93% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 96% ✓
Baseline Plus ML HOU -17.1 (+7.9) 133.1 (-4.1) 89% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ HOU -16.8 (+8.2) 128.2 (+0.8) 87% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML HOU -17.0 (+8.0) 133.5 (-4.5) 88% ✓
Baseline ML HOU -18.0 (+7.0) 134.0 (-5.0) 89% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 23, 2023 HOU 89 – 59 TULN
Jan 18, 2023 HOU 80 – 60 TULN
Mar 12, 2022 HOU 86 – 66 TULN
Feb 24, 2022 HOU 81 – 67 TULN
Feb 3, 2022 HOU 73 – 62 TULN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HOU TULN
Overall 28-4 10-13
Conference 14-3 4-12
Home 15-0 6-6
Away 5-3 3-6
Neutral 8-1 1-1
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.9 63.9
Avg Pts Against 58.6 66.5
Massey 19.0 (#6) 0.1 (#162)
Bradley-Terry 2.93 (#8) 0.28 (#149)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.78 (#9) 0.48 (#141)
RPI 0.629 (#4) 0.468 (#226)
Shooting & Four Factors HOU TULN
FG% 43.1% 38.4%
3PT% 35.0% 30.0%
REB / G 40.7 32.9
OREB / G 14.6 8.3
AST / TO 1.19 1.00
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.5% 44.4%
TOV% 16.5% 16.9%
ORB% 39.5% 22.9%
FT Rate 23.2% 27.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 43.0% 49.3%
Opp TOV% 22.5% 22.4%
DRB% 72.4% 69.8%
Opp FT Rate 28.9% 20.0%

Game Analysis

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