Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | TULN +400 HOU -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +20 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | HOU -13.2 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -11.3 (-8.7) | 142.5 (-2.5) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -12.8 (-7.2) | 141.0 (-1.0) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -11.1 (-8.9) | 142.7 (-2.7) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -10.6 (-9.4) | 141.6 (-1.6) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2023 | HOU 89 – 59 TULN |
| Mar 12, 2022 | HOU 86 – 66 TULN |
| Feb 24, 2022 | HOU 81 – 67 TULN |
| Feb 3, 2022 | HOU 73 – 62 TULN |
| Mar 13, 2021 | HOU 77 – 52 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 33-4 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 17-1 |
| Home | 12-3 | 16-2 |
| Away | 5-4 | 11-0 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 57.5 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#89) | 22.6 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#96) | 3.86 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#92) | 4.80 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#101) | 0.640 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 18.9% | 39.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 39.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 24.1% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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