Somehow I stayed thin, while the other guys got fat "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Houston Cougars
86 – 66
FINAL Neutral Conference Air Force Reserve American Athletic Conference
Tulane Green Wave
American Conference · Dickies Arena (Neutral) · March 12, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread HOU -13.0 Home covered
O/U 133.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total HOU win
Actual HOU +20 152 Won
Massey HOU -13.8 (+6.2) — —
Massey Totals — 138.2 (+13.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 88% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 93% ✓
Baseline Plus ML HOU -11.2 (+8.8) 138.9 (+13.1) 83% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ HOU -12.6 (+7.4) 136.3 (+15.7) 87% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML HOU -12.2 (+7.8) 139.5 (+12.5) 84% ✓
Baseline ML HOU -11.8 (+8.2) 139.2 (+12.8) 84% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 23, 2023 HOU 89 – 59 TULN
Jan 18, 2023 HOU 80 – 60 TULN
Feb 24, 2022 HOU 81 – 67 TULN
Feb 3, 2022 HOU 73 – 62 TULN
Mar 13, 2021 HOU 77 – 52 TULN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HOU TULN
Overall 32-6 14-15
Conference 15-3 10-8
Home 16-1 9-4
Away 7-3 3-8
Neutral 9-2 2-3
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.8 73.1
Avg Pts Against 58.8 71.7
Massey 19.6 (#4) 5.8 (#98)
Bradley-Terry 2.64 (#21) 0.60 (#125)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.37 (#17) 0.72 (#121)
RPI 0.625 (#8) 0.527 (#120)
Shooting & Four Factors HOU TULN
FG% 46.9% 44.1%
3PT% 34.0% 36.7%
REB / G 39.3 32.0
OREB / G 13.2 7.0
AST / TO 1.44 1.26
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.5% 51.2%
TOV% 17.2% 15.0%
ORB% 37.6% 20.4%
FT Rate 19.2% 25.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 43.3% 49.3%
Opp TOV% 21.9% 20.4%
DRB% 72.3% 67.7%
Opp FT Rate 24.9% 20.4%

Game Analysis

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