Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -18.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | HOU -2400 TULN +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +11 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -20.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -16.7 (-5.7) | 139.3 (-4.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -17.0 (-6.0) | 138.2 (-3.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -16.0 (-5.0) | 139.5 (-4.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -17.3 (-6.3) | 138.6 (-3.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2023 | HOU 89 – 59 TULN |
| Jan 18, 2023 | HOU 80 – 60 TULN |
| Mar 12, 2022 | HOU 86 – 66 TULN |
| Feb 24, 2022 | HOU 81 – 67 TULN |
| Mar 13, 2021 | HOU 77 – 52 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-6 | 14-15 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 10-8 |
| Home | 16-1 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-3 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 9-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 58.8 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 20.8 (#3) | 3.8 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.18 (#11) | 0.31 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.39 (#7) | 0.11 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.639 (#7) | 0.513 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 38.8% | 21.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.7% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.9% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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