Betting Lines
| Spread | CSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSU +6 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | CSU -3.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (-30.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSU -3.6 (+2.4) | 140.2 (-24.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSU -3.8 (+2.2) | 144.7 (-28.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSU -3.9 (+2.1) | 144.3 (-28.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSU -4.3 (+1.7) | 143.3 (-27.3) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | CSU 79 – 68 WYO |
| Feb 1, 2026 | WYO 68 – 57 CSU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | CSU 88 – 53 WYO |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CSU 79 – 63 WYO |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CSU 70 – 62 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSU | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-6 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-1 | 14-1 |
| Away | 6-3 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#46) | 9.5 (#53) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.72 (#20) | 2.73 (#19) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.88 (#30) | 3.02 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.617 (#18) | 0.614 (#20) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSU | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 21.4% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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