Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +11 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -0.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (+6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -0.0 (-11.0) | 146.0 (+9.0) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VMI -1.2 (-12.2) | 147.5 (+7.5) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VMI -0.7 (-11.7) | 148.0 (+7.0) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VMI -1.0 (-12.0) | 146.7 (+8.3) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | WOF 82 – 76 VMI |
| Feb 4, 2026 | WOF 81 – 67 VMI |
| Mar 9, 2025 | WOF 85 – 65 VMI |
| Feb 19, 2025 | WOF 82 – 43 VMI |
| Jan 30, 2025 | VMI 74 – 67 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#147) | 3.8 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#145) | 0.33 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#132) | 0.47 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#124) | 0.501 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 77.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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