Betting Lines
| Spread | WAG -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FDU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FDU +2 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | WAG -15.3 (+17.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (+29.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -12.7 (+14.7) | 146.4 (+27.6) | 15% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAG -14.3 (+16.3) | 146.9 (+27.1) | 13% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WAG -12.5 (+14.5) | 149.0 (+25.0) | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -13.5 (+15.5) | 148.8 (+25.2) | 16% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | WAG 75 – 72 FDU |
| Jan 19, 2026 | FDU 68 – 61 WAG |
| Feb 8, 2025 | FDU 69 – 58 WAG |
| Jan 5, 2025 | FDU 71 – 59 WAG |
| Mar 2, 2024 | FDU 57 – 54 WAG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FDU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-22 | 21-6 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 15-3 |
| Home | 3-8 | 13-1 |
| Away | 2-16 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -15.2 (#351) | 2.8 (#126) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.23 (#354) | 1.38 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.64 (#352) | 1.36 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.384 (#348) | 0.544 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FDU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 27.1% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 23.1% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.