Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +34 | 90 | Won |
| Massey | NE -9.1 (+24.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (-44.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -8.0 (+26.0) | 132.3 (-42.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -8.2 (+25.8) | 134.9 (-44.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NE -7.6 (+26.4) | 134.5 (-44.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -8.5 (+25.5) | 133.7 (-43.7) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | W&M 84 – 77 NE |
| Feb 13, 2026 | W&M 94 – 67 NE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NE 70 – 68 W&M |
| Jan 27, 2024 | W&M 72 – 68 NE |
| Feb 18, 2023 | NE 69 – 57 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 4-14 |
| Home | 6-8 | 4-10 |
| Away | 0-12 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L10 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#262) | -11.9 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#255) | -2.21 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#254) | -2.98 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#280) | 0.398 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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