Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
| Money | MSST -280 VAN +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSST +5 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | MSST -4.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.9 (+9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSST -5.5 (-0.5) | 136.6 (+6.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSST -5.9 (-0.9) | 134.7 (+8.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSST -5.5 (-0.5) | 137.5 (+5.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSST -5.6 (-0.6) | 139.0 (+4.0) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | VAN 88 – 56 MSST |
| Jan 8, 2025 | MSST 76 – 64 VAN |
| Jan 20, 2024 | MSST 68 – 55 VAN |
| Mar 5, 2023 | VAN 77 – 72 MSST |
| Feb 13, 2021 | VAN 72 – 51 MSST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSST | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 19-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-8 |
| Away | 1-10 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#45) | 8.1 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#66) | 1.31 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#67) | 1.47 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#81) | 0.549 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSST | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.