Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | UPST +160 GWEB -190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UPST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UPST +2 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | GWEB -5.2 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (+3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -4.1 (+6.1) | 138.7 (+3.3) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -3.3 (+5.3) | 139.3 (+2.7) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -3.1 (+5.1) | 140.8 (+1.2) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -3.0 (+5.0) | 140.3 (+1.7) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | GWEB 65 – 64 UPST |
| Feb 28, 2026 | UPST 71 – 61 GWEB |
| Jan 24, 2026 | GWEB 67 – 65 UPST |
| Mar 6, 2025 | GWEB 83 – 63 UPST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | GWEB 96 – 87 UPST |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.