Gardner-Webb
Runnin' Bulldogs
83
–
63
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Big South
South Carolina Upstate
Spartans
Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | GWEB -270 UPST +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +20 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | GWEB -7.1 (+12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.7 (-13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -8.0 (+12.0) | 153.3 (-7.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -8.5 (+11.5) | 153.6 (-7.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -8.5 (+11.5) | 153.1 (-7.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -8.8 (+11.2) | 153.7 (-7.7) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | GWEB 65 – 64 UPST |
| Feb 28, 2026 | UPST 71 – 61 GWEB |
| Jan 24, 2026 | GWEB 67 – 65 UPST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | GWEB 96 – 87 UPST |
| Jan 18, 2025 | GWEB 97 – 68 UPST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 2-14 |
| Home | 5-6 | 4-10 |
| Away | 3-13 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 85.5 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#263) | -13.0 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#258) | -2.43 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#260) | -2.79 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#246) | 0.396 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 56.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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