South Carolina Upstate
Spartans
64
–
65
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Big South
Gardner-Webb
Runnin' Bulldogs
Betting Lines
| Spread | UPST -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | UPST -625 GWEB +455 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UPST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +1 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | UPST -12.9 (-13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (-20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UPST -9.2 (-10.2) | 144.2 (-15.2) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UPST -12.1 (-13.1) | 139.9 (-10.9) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UPST -11.4 (-12.4) | 141.4 (-12.4) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UPST -11.8 (-12.8) | 141.0 (-12.0) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UPST 71 – 61 GWEB |
| Jan 24, 2026 | GWEB 67 – 65 UPST |
| Mar 6, 2025 | GWEB 83 – 63 UPST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | GWEB 96 – 87 UPST |
| Jan 18, 2025 | GWEB 97 – 68 UPST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UPST | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 4-29 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 1-15 |
| Home | 10-5 | 3-10 |
| Away | 3-13 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 86.7 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#286) | -20.4 (#363) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#303) | -3.76 (#365) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.00 (#312) | -4.89 (#364) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#259) | 0.385 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UPST | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 57.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 63.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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