Betting Lines
| Spread | PENN -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
| Money | DART +110 PENN -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DART +14 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | DART -0.1 (+13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (+16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DART -0.3 (+13.7) | 138.8 (+15.2) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DART -0.2 (+13.8) | 139.8 (+14.2) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DART -0.3 (+13.7) | 141.1 (+12.9) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DART -0.2 (+13.8) | 141.0 (+13.0) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | PENN 80 – 71 DART |
| Jan 17, 2026 | PENN 84 – 74 DART |
| Feb 22, 2025 | PENN 88 – 75 DART |
| Jan 11, 2025 | DART 73 – 70 PENN |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PENN 82 – 69 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-16 | 12-16 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 9-5 |
| Home | 5-5 | 6-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#236) | -1.2 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#287) | -0.05 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#258) | -0.07 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#295) | 0.511 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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