Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | HC +140 ARMY -160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +8 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | ARMY -3.4 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (-16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -4.1 (-3.9) | 140.4 (-16.4) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -2.2 (-5.8) | 140.3 (-16.3) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -2.4 (-5.6) | 141.6 (-17.6) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -2.6 (-5.4) | 141.0 (-17.0) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | ARMY 69 – 68 HC |
| Jan 14, 2026 | HC 82 – 75 ARMY |
| Feb 5, 2025 | ARMY 68 – 65 HC |
| Jan 22, 2025 | ARMY 76 – 71 HC |
| Mar 5, 2024 | HC 84 – 68 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HC | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 5-9 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -13.6 (#345) | -7.4 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.13 (#329) | -1.24 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.77 (#337) | -1.69 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#340) | 0.457 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HC | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 15.2% |
Game Analysis
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