They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
Liberty Arena (VA) · February 26, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread LIB -9.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Over
Money LIB -475 / KENN +360
Model Predictions
Spread Total LIB win
Actual LIB +7 193 Won
Massey LIB -9.3 (-2.3) — —
Massey Totals — 140.3 (+52.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 88% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 88% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LIB -12.4 (-5.4) 141.9 (+51.1) 86% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML LIB -9.2 (-2.2) 145.1 (+47.9) 82% ✓
Baseline ML LIB -9.6 (-2.6) 146.7 (+46.3) 83% ✓
Baseline Plus ML LIB -9.7 (-2.7) 144.8 (+48.2) 82% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2026 KENN 74 – 65 LIB
Jan 3, 2026 LIB 81 – 73 KENN
Mar 14, 2025 LIB 81 – 79 KENN
Mar 2, 2025 KENN 85 – 80 LIB
Jan 31, 2025 LIB 76 – 68 KENN

Game Analysis

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