Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -4.0 Push |
| O/U | 131.0 Under |
| Money | OU -170 OKST +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +4 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | OU -3.2 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -3.8 (+0.2) | 135.9 (-7.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -3.5 (+0.5) | 136.3 (-8.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -3.5 (+0.5) | 137.9 (-9.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -3.9 (+0.1) | 135.3 (-7.3) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | OU 85 – 76 OKST |
| Dec 15, 2024 | OU 80 – 65 OKST |
| Feb 24, 2024 | OU 84 – 82 OKST |
| Feb 11, 2024 | OU 66 – 62 OKST |
| Mar 9, 2023 | OKST 57 – 49 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-6 | 10-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.0 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#42) | 10.3 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#57) | 1.38 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#41) | 2.01 (#59) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#120) | 0.544 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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