Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUF -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
| Money | UCSD +140 CSUF -160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +5 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | CSUF -3.8 (+8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (+16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUF -2.6 (+7.6) | 139.9 (+17.1) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUF -2.7 (+7.7) | 140.6 (+16.4) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUF -2.9 (+7.9) | 140.6 (+16.4) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUF -2.5 (+7.5) | 140.1 (+16.9) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CSUF 75 – 71 UCSD |
| Jan 9, 2026 | CSUF 88 – 71 UCSD |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UCSD 100 – 55 CSUF |
| Jan 5, 2025 | UCSD 90 – 51 CSUF |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UCSD 76 – 69 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-16 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 0-0 | 11-4 |
| Home | 9-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 66.4 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#261) | 0.9 (#148) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#253) | 0.56 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#239) | 0.45 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#296) | 0.528 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 5.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 18.1% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.2% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.