Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
| Money | MISS -130 TA&M +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +10 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | MISS -0.2 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -0.7 (-10.7) | 139.7 (+2.3) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -1.4 (-11.4) | 140.3 (+1.7) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -0.8 (-10.8) | 141.4 (+0.6) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -0.9 (-10.9) | 140.7 (+1.3) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | TA&M 80 – 77 MISS |
| Jan 23, 2025 | TA&M 63 – 62 MISS |
| Mar 14, 2024 | TA&M 80 – 71 MISS |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TA&M 86 – 60 MISS |
| Jan 28, 2024 | MISS 71 – 68 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 27-13 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-8 | 16-4 |
| Away | 2-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#100) | 8.0 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#110) | 1.39 (#73) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#101) | 1.63 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#162) | 0.538 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 24.6% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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