Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -18.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
| Money | HOF -2800 W&M +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +16 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -18.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -14.4 (+1.6) | 150.2 (-0.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -15.5 (+0.5) | 148.5 (+1.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -16.7 (-0.7) | 147.9 (+2.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -17.0 (-1.0) | 148.5 (+1.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | HOF 92 – 61 W&M |
| Jan 24, 2026 | W&M 89 – 82 HOF |
| Feb 14, 2025 | W&M 61 – 60 HOF |
| Jan 3, 2025 | W&M 74 – 56 HOF |
| Jan 26, 2024 | HOF 64 – 55 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 4-14 |
| Home | 12-2 | 4-10 |
| Away | 8-8 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L10 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#121) | -12.6 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#97) | -2.22 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#107) | -3.01 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.575 (#57) | 0.398 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.6% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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