Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
| Money | MARQ -420 BTLR +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +8 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -11.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (-15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -10.2 (-2.2) | 140.6 (-20.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -10.8 (-2.8) | 142.1 (-22.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -11.0 (-3.0) | 143.6 (-23.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -10.4 (-2.4) | 142.4 (-22.4) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MARQ 70 – 55 BTLR |
| Jan 24, 2026 | BTLR 87 – 76 MARQ |
| Jan 29, 2025 | MARQ 78 – 69 BTLR |
| Dec 19, 2024 | MARQ 80 – 70 BTLR |
| Feb 13, 2024 | MARQ 78 – 72 BTLR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 11-8 | 6-14 |
| Home | 13-3 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 11.0 (#37) | 2.1 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.47 (#26) | 1.16 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.87 (#32) | 1.50 (#86) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#52) | 0.510 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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