Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Under |
| Money | BGSU -440 WMU +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WMU +11 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | BGSU -9.6 (-20.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -9.6 (-20.6) | 151.0 (-6.0) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -7.7 (-18.7) | 153.3 (-8.3) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -7.6 (-18.6) | 154.6 (-9.6) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -8.0 (-19.0) | 151.7 (-6.7) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | WMU 88 – 79 BGSU |
| Jan 21, 2026 | BGSU 72 – 54 WMU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | WMU 64 – 63 BGSU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | BGSU 83 – 79 WMU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | BGSU 73 – 65 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 4-16 |
| Home | 9-7 | 4-10 |
| Away | 3-10 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.9 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.2 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#266) | -12.9 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#262) | -2.01 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.34 (#266) | -2.48 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#281) | 0.420 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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