Tire tracks all across your back - I can see you've had your fun. "Crosstown Traffic"- Jimi Hendrix
Big Sky Conference · J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome · February 26, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread WEB -8.0 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money NAU +285 / WEB -360
Model Predictions
Spread Total NAU win
Actual WEB +24 122 Lost
Massey WEB -7.7 (-16.3) — —
Massey Totals — 145.2 (-23.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 19% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 12% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WEB -8.4 (-15.6) 142.2 (-20.2) 25% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WEB -6.1 (-17.9) 144.1 (-22.1) 25% ✓
Baseline ML WEB -6.4 (-17.6) 144.5 (-22.5) 25% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WEB -6.7 (-17.3) 144.8 (-22.8) 25% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 8, 2026 WEB 72 – 53 NAU
Jan 9, 2026 WEB 78 – 65 NAU
Feb 4, 2025 WEB 77 – 73 NAU
Jan 4, 2025 NAU 80 – 77 WEB
Mar 2, 2024 WEB 85 – 58 NAU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NAU WEB
Overall 9-23 21-12
Conference 5-15 13-7
Home 5-10 9-6
Away 3-11 8-5
Neutral 1-2 4-1
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L8 L1
Avg Pts For 65.4 75.2
Avg Pts Against 74.8 71.7
Massey -11.3 (#329) -0.8 (#182)
Bradley-Terry -1.85 (#314) 0.10 (#168)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.25 (#317) 0.24 (#156)
RPI 0.435 (#300) 0.502 (#179)
Shooting & Four Factors NAU WEB
FG% 40.9% 46.6%
3PT% 34.7% 34.3%
REB / G 36.3 31.8
OREB / G 10.3 6.5
AST / TO 0.85 0.95
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.2% 53.3%
TOV% 20.8% 16.2%
ORB% 28.4% 20.1%
FT Rate 19.5% 28.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.5% 52.4%
Opp TOV% 13.6% 20.0%
DRB% 76.1% 74.7%
Opp FT Rate 24.9% 18.5%

Game Analysis

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