Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | NORF -550 SCST +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NORF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +4 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | NORF -11.7 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (-20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -11.2 (-7.2) | 144.4 (-22.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -9.7 (-5.7) | 143.5 (-21.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -9.9 (-5.9) | 143.0 (-21.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -10.0 (-6.0) | 145.3 (-23.3) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | SCST 88 – 82 NORF |
| Feb 21, 2026 | NORF 90 – 71 SCST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | NORF 89 – 82 SCST |
| Mar 15, 2025 | NORF 66 – 65 SCST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SCST 91 – 88 NORF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NORF | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-7 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 7-7 |
| Home | 11-0 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-6 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.6 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#193) | -10.3 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#166) | -1.26 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#176) | -1.90 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#151) | 0.432 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NORF | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 40.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 14.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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