With fingernails that shine like justice, and a voice that is dark like tinted glass. "Short Skirt Long Jacket" - Cake
Halton Arena · February 26, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread CLT -1.0 Away covered
O/U 139.0 Over
Money CLT -115 / FAU -105
Model Predictions
Spread Total CLT win
Actual FAU +5 143 Lost
Massey FAU -0.2 (-4.8) — —
Massey Totals — 143.3 (-0.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 76% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 66% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ FAU -0.5 (-4.5) 140.6 (+2.4) 49% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CLT -2.7 (-7.7) 145.7 (-2.7) 61% ✗
Baseline ML CLT -2.1 (-7.1) 145.6 (-2.6) 62% ✗
Baseline Plus ML CLT -2.0 (-7.0) 143.1 (-0.1) 57% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 1, 2026 FAU 77 – 76 CLT
Mar 13, 2025 FAU 64 – 59 CLT
Feb 11, 2025 FAU 87 – 75 CLT
Jan 9, 2025 FAU 75 – 64 CLT
Jan 6, 2024 CLT 70 – 68 FAU

Game Analysis

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