Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
| Money | MCN -475 UIW +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIW +2 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | MCN -8.9 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (-8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -7.4 (-9.4) | 146.0 (-10.0) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -7.5 (-9.5) | 147.9 (-11.9) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -7.1 (-9.1) | 148.9 (-12.9) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -6.8 (-8.8) | 146.4 (-10.4) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MCN 81 – 64 UIW |
| Dec 2, 2025 | UIW 71 – 67 MCN |
| Feb 4, 2025 | MCN 67 – 65 UIW |
| Feb 24, 2024 | MCN 87 – 71 UIW |
| Jan 20, 2024 | MCN 80 – 66 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 3-11 |
| Home | 6-5 | 5-10 |
| Away | 2-13 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.2 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#308) | -15.2 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#318) | -2.84 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.22 (#315) | -3.14 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#275) | 0.417 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 29.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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