Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -15.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | IONA -2000 CAN +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +7 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -16.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (-8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -13.8 (-6.8) | 143.2 (-6.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -14.4 (-7.4) | 144.5 (-7.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -15.4 (-8.4) | 144.4 (-7.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -14.9 (-7.9) | 145.4 (-8.4) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | IONA 69 – 63 CAN |
| Jan 11, 2026 | IONA 74 – 48 CAN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | IONA 82 – 52 CAN |
| Jan 17, 2025 | IONA 82 – 61 CAN |
| Feb 10, 2024 | CAN 73 – 69 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 7-13 |
| Home | 13-0 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-5 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#81) | -6.4 (#272) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#45) | -1.25 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.03 (#58) | -1.82 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.621 (#16) | 0.450 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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