Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
| Money | PRIN -340 HARV +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +7 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -8.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -7.1 (-0.1) | 143.1 (-2.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -9.0 (-2.0) | 144.3 (-3.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -8.6 (-1.6) | 145.3 (-4.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -10.2 (-3.2) | 147.2 (-6.2) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | HARV 58 – 56 PRIN |
| Jan 17, 2026 | HARV 87 – 80 PRIN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | PRIN 76 – 71 HARV |
| Jan 11, 2025 | PRIN 68 – 64 HARV |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PRIN 66 – 53 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-7 | 13-13 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 5-9 |
| Home | 13-1 | 9-6 |
| Away | 8-4 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.6 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#115) | -2.1 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#101) | -0.57 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#111) | -0.65 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#102) | 0.473 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 14.6% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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