Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Over |
| Money | KSU -145 ISU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +1 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | KSU -0.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.0 (+19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -1.3 (-2.3) | 134.2 (+12.8) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -1.3 (-2.3) | 135.6 (+11.4) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -0.9 (-1.9) | 136.3 (+10.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -1.5 (-2.5) | 132.7 (+14.3) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | ISU 95 – 61 KSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | ISU 73 – 57 KSU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | KSU 80 – 61 ISU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | ISU 76 – 57 KSU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | KSU 65 – 58 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-7 | 14-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 62.5 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#59) | 11.0 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#58) | 2.42 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.27 (#47) | 2.98 (#25) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#143) | 0.548 (#87) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 24.8% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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