Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Under |
| Money | CIT +350 FUR -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +35 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | FUR -8.4 (-26.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -7.0 (-28.0) | 155.2 (-2.2) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -6.2 (-28.8) | 154.1 (-1.1) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -6.7 (-28.3) | 154.7 (-1.7) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -7.5 (-27.5) | 154.0 (-1.0) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | FUR 72 – 51 CIT |
| Jan 22, 2026 | CIT 77 – 75 FUR |
| Feb 27, 2025 | FUR 85 – 42 CIT |
| Jan 9, 2025 | FUR 67 – 63 CIT |
| Feb 1, 2024 | FUR 82 – 79 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-8 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-9 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#246) | 6.8 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#220) | 0.88 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#226) | 1.09 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#220) | 0.555 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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