Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
| Money | MASS +230 VCU -280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +15 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -6.7 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -5.3 (-9.7) | 144.0 (-5.0) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -5.6 (-9.4) | 140.3 (-1.3) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -4.6 (-10.4) | 141.4 (-2.4) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -6.3 (-8.7) | 143.5 (-4.5) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2025 | VCU 80 – 51 MASS |
| Mar 14, 2024 | VCU 73 – 59 MASS |
| Feb 21, 2024 | MASS 74 – 52 VCU |
| Jan 18, 2023 | VCU 83 – 55 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 14-4 |
| Home | 10-5 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 62.4 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#189) | 8.2 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#183) | 1.93 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#188) | 1.99 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#186) | 0.592 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 43.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 25.3% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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