Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | VCU -2000 MASS +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +29 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -17.6 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (-16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -16.3 (+12.7) | 145.6 (-14.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -17.0 (+12.0) | 146.0 (-15.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -14.7 (+14.3) | 147.5 (-16.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -16.2 (+12.8) | 145.3 (-14.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2024 | VCU 73 – 59 MASS |
| Feb 21, 2024 | MASS 74 – 52 VCU |
| Jan 18, 2023 | VCU 83 – 55 MASS |
| Feb 26, 2022 | VCU 77 – 62 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 15-1 | 8-8 |
| Away | 7-3 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 13.1 (#40) | -1.3 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#54) | -0.48 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.50 (#47) | -0.45 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#42) | 0.477 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 28.5% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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