Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | MASS -155 VCU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +22 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -2.6 (+19.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (-18.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -1.7 (+20.3) | 141.3 (-15.3) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -2.2 (+19.8) | 142.2 (-16.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -0.6 (+21.4) | 139.1 (-13.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -1.9 (+20.1) | 140.8 (-14.8) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2025 | VCU 80 – 51 MASS |
| Mar 14, 2024 | VCU 73 – 59 MASS |
| Jan 18, 2023 | VCU 83 – 55 MASS |
| Feb 26, 2022 | VCU 77 – 62 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 24-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-3 | 13-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#84) | 7.5 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#112) | 1.34 (#77) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#101) | 1.68 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#84) | 0.568 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 36.8% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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