Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | VCU -600 MASS +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +28 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -6.8 (+21.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -6.4 (+21.6) | 143.3 (-5.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -5.9 (+22.1) | 143.7 (-5.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -6.4 (+21.6) | 144.1 (-6.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -5.8 (+22.2) | 143.8 (-5.8) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2025 | VCU 80 – 51 MASS |
| Mar 14, 2024 | VCU 73 – 59 MASS |
| Feb 21, 2024 | MASS 74 – 52 VCU |
| Feb 26, 2022 | VCU 77 – 62 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 8-3 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#103) | 1.6 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#72) | 0.60 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#98) | 0.75 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#65) | 0.536 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 33.0% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.6% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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