Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
| Money | MASS +105 VCU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +14 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | MASS -0.4 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (-9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -0.2 (-13.8) | 137.6 (-5.6) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -0.6 (-14.6) | 139.5 (-7.5) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -0.5 (-14.5) | 140.2 (-8.2) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -0.8 (-14.8) | 139.9 (-7.9) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2025 | VCU 80 – 51 MASS |
| Feb 21, 2024 | MASS 74 – 52 VCU |
| Jan 18, 2023 | VCU 83 – 55 MASS |
| Feb 26, 2022 | VCU 77 – 62 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 24-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-3 | 13-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#80) | 6.9 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#96) | 1.21 (#84) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#93) | 1.45 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#74) | 0.562 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 36.9% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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