Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | SELA +125 NICH -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +2 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -2.6 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -2.5 (+4.5) | 159.1 (+4.9) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -2.2 (+4.2) | 156.6 (+7.4) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -1.6 (+3.6) | 158.1 (+5.9) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -2.4 (+4.4) | 158.9 (+5.1) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | NICH 68 – 60 SELA |
| Jan 24, 2026 | SELA 67 – 61 NICH |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SELA 84 – 81 NICH |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NICH 67 – 64 SELA |
| Mar 8, 2024 | NICH 80 – 54 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 11-3 |
| Home | 10-1 | 11-1 |
| Away | 5-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#286) | -1.8 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#247) | -0.37 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#260) | -0.65 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#181) | 0.522 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 12.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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