Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | WASH +155 WSU -180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +8 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -6.1 (+14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (+12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -4.7 (+12.7) | 137.8 (+10.2) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -3.1 (+11.1) | 138.7 (+9.3) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -3.4 (+11.4) | 140.5 (+7.5) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -3.4 (+11.4) | 141.1 (+6.9) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | WASH 81 – 69 WSU |
| Dec 19, 2024 | WASH 89 – 73 WSU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | WASH 74 – 68 WSU |
| Feb 4, 2024 | WSU 90 – 87 WASH |
| Mar 3, 2023 | WSU 93 – 84 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 11-9 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-7 |
| Away | 3-7 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 64.9 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#137) | 10.8 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#105) | 1.15 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#112) | 1.69 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#106) | 0.560 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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