I just keep on rolling along with the grace of the Lord above. "Heartbreaker" - Led Zeppelin
Pac-12 Conference · Alaska Airlines Arena · February 4, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread WASH -1.5 Away covered
O/U 148.5 Over
Money WASH -115 / WSU -111
Model Predictions
Spread Total WASH win
Actual WSU +3 177 Lost
Massey WASH -2.0 (-5.0)
Massey Totals 152.9 (+24.1)
Bradley-Terry 53%
Weighted B-T 53%
Efficiency Plus ML WASH -0.7 (-3.7) 149.5 (+27.5) 48%
Baseline Tuned ML WASH -0.5 (-3.5) 150.9 (+26.1) 54%
Baseline ML WASH -0.7 (-3.7) 151.5 (+25.5) 50%
Baseline Plus ML WASH -1.1 (-4.1) 151.9 (+25.1) 51%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 15, 2025 WASH 8169 WSU
Dec 19, 2024 WASH 8973 WSU
Mar 8, 2024 WASH 7468 WSU
Mar 3, 2023 WSU 9384 WASH
Feb 12, 2023 WSU 5651 WASH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WASH WSU
Overall 17-15 25-10
Conference 9-11 14-6
Home 10-6 15-2
Away 5-6 6-4
Neutral 2-3 4-4
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 80.6 73.5
Avg Pts Against 77.1 66.7
Massey 9.6 (#58) 11.1 (#43)
Bradley-Terry 1.23 (#85) 1.73 (#51)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.57 (#89) 2.13 (#59)
RPI 0.558 (#87) 0.570 (#71)
Shooting & Four Factors WASH WSU
FG% 47.2% 47.5%
3PT% 34.6% 34.2%
REB / G 36.3 38.2
OREB / G 10.1 10.6
AST / TO 1.22 1.21
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.3% 52.9%
TOV% 16.2% 15.2%
ORB% 29.3% 31.1%
FT Rate 24.3% 23.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.3% 45.4%
Opp TOV% 16.6% 15.6%
DRB% 70.6% 74.9%
Opp FT Rate 24.1% 25.3%

Game Analysis

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