Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | WASH -111 WSU -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +9 | 177 | Lost |
| Massey | WSU -0.6 (-8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.6 (+43.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -1.5 (-7.5) | 135.9 (+41.1) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -0.2 (-9.2) | 134.5 (+42.5) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -0.3 (-9.3) | 135.1 (+41.9) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -0.4 (-8.6) | 135.8 (+41.2) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | WASH 81 – 69 WSU |
| Dec 19, 2024 | WASH 89 – 73 WSU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | WASH 74 – 68 WSU |
| Feb 4, 2024 | WSU 90 – 87 WASH |
| Feb 12, 2023 | WSU 56 – 51 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#100) | 8.7 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#104) | 0.86 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#104) | 1.28 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#139) | 0.541 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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