Lord Lucan is missing. "Lord Lucan is Missing" - The Dodgems
Pac-12 Conference · Alaska Airlines Arena · March 3, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread WASH -0.5 Away covered
O/U 134.5 Over
Money WASH -111 / WSU -111
Model Predictions
Spread Total WASH win
Actual WSU +9 177 Lost
Massey WSU -0.6 (-8.4) — —
Massey Totals — 133.6 (+43.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 63% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 58% ✗
Baseline Plus ML WSU -0.4 (-8.6) 135.8 (+41.2) 47% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WSU -1.5 (-7.5) 135.9 (+41.1) 44% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WASH -0.2 (-9.2) 134.5 (+42.5) 52% ✗
Baseline ML WASH -0.3 (-9.3) 135.1 (+41.9) 53% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 15, 2025 WASH 81 – 69 WSU
Dec 19, 2024 WASH 89 – 73 WSU
Mar 8, 2024 WASH 74 – 68 WSU
Feb 4, 2024 WSU 90 – 87 WASH
Feb 12, 2023 WSU 56 – 51 WASH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WASH WSU
Overall 16-16 17-17
Conference 8-12 11-9
Home 12-6 10-4
Away 2-9 4-8
Neutral 2-1 3-5
Last 5 3-2 5-0
Streak L3 L2
Avg Pts For 69.2 68.4
Avg Pts Against 70.3 65.7
Massey 4.5 (#100) 8.7 (#64)
Bradley-Terry 0.80 (#104) 0.86 (#96)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.89 (#104) 1.28 (#87)
RPI 0.519 (#139) 0.541 (#99)
Shooting & Four Factors WASH WSU
FG% 42.9% 42.1%
3PT% 31.0% 36.3%
REB / G 34.1 34.7
OREB / G 8.8 10.8
AST / TO 0.80 0.95
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.6% 49.9%
TOV% 20.1% 18.7%
ORB% 26.0% 31.3%
FT Rate 23.9% 20.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.6% 49.6%
Opp TOV% 18.7% 16.7%
DRB% 66.1% 74.4%
Opp FT Rate 18.1% 19.4%

Game Analysis

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