Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | WSU +320 WASH -425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +12 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | WASH -3.9 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -8.0 (-4.0) | 145.5 (+4.5) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -4.8 (-7.2) | 144.5 (+5.5) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -6.1 (-5.9) | 146.4 (+3.6) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -6.4 (-5.6) | 148.2 (+1.8) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2024 | WASH 89 – 73 WSU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | WASH 74 – 68 WSU |
| Feb 4, 2024 | WSU 90 – 87 WASH |
| Mar 3, 2023 | WSU 93 – 84 WASH |
| Feb 12, 2023 | WSU 56 – 51 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-13 |
| Home | 9-6 | 10-6 |
| Away | 2-11 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#243) | 10.4 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.65 (#314) | 0.47 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.17 (#310) | 0.66 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#243) | 0.569 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 44.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 14.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 40.7% |
| FT Rate | 35.5% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.9% | 44.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 85.7% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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