Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | WASH -135 WSU +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +16 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -2.6 (+18.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (+15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -0.2 (+16.2) | 145.6 (+16.4) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -0.2 (+15.8) | 144.2 (+17.8) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -0.4 (+15.6) | 144.1 (+17.9) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -1.2 (+14.8) | 145.0 (+17.0) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | WASH 81 – 69 WSU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | WASH 74 – 68 WSU |
| Feb 4, 2024 | WSU 90 – 87 WASH |
| Mar 3, 2023 | WSU 93 – 84 WASH |
| Feb 12, 2023 | WSU 56 – 51 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-9 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 78.6 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#124) | 8.9 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#84) | 2.36 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#100) | 3.15 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#71) | 0.612 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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