Betting Lines
| Spread | UMES -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | UMES -170 COPP +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UMES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UMES +20 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | UMES -4.6 (+15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (-18.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMES -4.0 (+16.0) | 140.9 (-20.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMES -4.0 (+16.0) | 139.0 (-19.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UMES -4.1 (+15.9) | 139.7 (-19.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMES -4.0 (+16.0) | 142.0 (-22.0) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | COPP 71 – 65 UMES |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UMES 70 – 67 COPP |
| Mar 4, 2025 | UMES 72 – 59 COPP |
| Feb 4, 2025 | COPP 62 – 57 UMES |
| Feb 20, 2024 | UMES 75 – 67 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UMES | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-16 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 6-8 |
| Home | 6-4 | 3-6 |
| Away | 5-11 | 4-16 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.8 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#290) | -9.1 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#296) | -1.75 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.14 (#310) | -2.04 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#274) | 0.441 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UMES | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.