Blood in the streets in the town of New Haven "Peace Frog" - The Doors
America East Conference · Lundholm Gymnasium · February 26, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread UNH -7.5 Away covered
O/U 130.0 Under
Money UNH -360 / BING +285
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNH win
Actual UNH +4 128 Won
Massey UNH -5.8 (-1.8) — —
Massey Totals — 129.8 (-1.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 73% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 70% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UNH -4.5 (-0.5) 130.1 (-2.1) 73% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UNH -4.6 (-0.6) 132.8 (-4.8) 69% ✓
Baseline ML UNH -4.3 (-0.3) 134.2 (-6.2) 72% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UNH -4.1 (-0.1) 132.3 (-4.3) 73% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 26, 2026 BING 65 – 63 UNH
Jan 22, 2026 UNH 88 – 82 BING
Feb 20, 2025 BING 79 – 60 UNH
Jan 11, 2025 UNH 79 – 72 BING
Mar 9, 2024 UNH 77 – 64 BING

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNH BING
Overall 15-13 12-17
Conference 10-8 8-10
Home 10-4 5-8
Away 5-9 7-9
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 66.7 65.7
Avg Pts Against 65.8 69.9
Massey -4.2 (#239) -7.2 (#288)
Bradley-Terry -1.04 (#256) -1.56 (#298)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.40 (#271) -1.73 (#287)
RPI 0.472 (#230) 0.442 (#282)
Shooting & Four Factors UNH BING
FG% 43.5% 42.7%
3PT% 36.7% 34.3%
REB / G 34.7 35.9
OREB / G 9.6 10.0
AST / TO 1.27 0.88
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.1% 48.8%
TOV% 14.8% 18.8%
ORB% 28.4% 28.0%
FT Rate 17.1% 16.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.6% 49.1%
Opp TOV% 13.3% 16.4%
DRB% 77.0% 71.7%
Opp FT Rate 21.0% 20.4%

Game Analysis

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